tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Baltimore via Charlotte: arrives on time 59%

  1. 17:10 MHT → 19:40 CLT
    AA 5463 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 30m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 CLT → 00:14 BWI +1 day
    AA 1318 · American · 1h 29m · 74% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 04mMHT 17:10 to BWI 00:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.