tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Manchester → Philadelphia via Charlotte: arrives on time 57%

  1. 17:10 MHT → 19:40 CLT
    AA 5463 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 30m · 54% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 2h 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:29 CLT → 00:17 PHL +1 day
    AA 2189 · American · 1h 48m · 74% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 7h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 124 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 49m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip7h 07mMHT 17:10 to PHL 00:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.