tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 45%

  1. 06:11 MEM → 09:44 PHL
    AA 5468 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 33m · 89% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:02 PHL → 13:47 MCO
    AA 2125 · American · 2h 45m · 55% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip6h 36mMEM 06:11 to MCO 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.