tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Charlotte via Philadelphia: arrives on time 43%

  1. 11:23 PNS → 14:56 PHL
    AA 5469 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 33m · 55% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 PHL → 17:53 CLT
    AA 2573 · American · 2h 03m · 85% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Pensacola). Times are local. Both flew on 29 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 30mPNS 11:23 to CLT 17:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.