tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Cleveland → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 27%

  1. 17:12 CLE → 18:46 DCA
    AA 5470 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 32m · 57% on time, 16.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 13m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 DCA → 22:03 ATL
    AA 5502 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 02m · 60% on time, 18.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 28 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 13m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (16.9% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (18.3% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip4h 49mCLE 17:12 to ATL 22:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.