tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Albany via Philadelphia: arrives on time 70%

  1. 13:30 DCA → 14:38 PHL
    AA 5474 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 08m · 65% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:40 PHL → 18:04 ALB
    AA 6024 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 24m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 34mDCA 13:30 to ALB 18:04, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.