tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → San Antonio via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 19:32 BNA → 21:48 DFW
    AA 5475 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 48% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 DFW → 23:58 SAT
    AA 1599 · American · 1h 08m · 41% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip4h 26mBNA 19:32 to SAT 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.