tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Portland via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 19%

  1. 19:32 BNA → 21:48 DFW
    AA 5475 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 16m · 48% on time, 13.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:52 DFW → 00:52 PDX +1 day
    AA 2620 · American · 4h 01m · 44% on time, 6.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time19%First flight not cancelled (13.0% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (6.8% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip7h 21mBNA 19:32 to PDX 00:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.