tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Raleigh/Durham via Philadelphia: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:54 MSP → 09:36 PHL
    AA 5488 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 16m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:52 PHL → 12:25 RDU
    AA 2403 · American · 1h 33m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 31mMSP 05:54 to RDU 12:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.