tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Indianapolis via Philadelphia: arrives on time 73%

  1. 05:54 MSP → 09:36 PHL
    AA 5488 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 PHL → 12:55 IND
    AA 5240 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 10m · 86% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 6h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Indianapolis is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection91%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 9% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time73%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (91%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 01mMSP 05:54 to IND 12:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.