tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Traverse City via Philadelphia: arrives on time 68%

  1. 05:54 MSP → 09:36 PHL
    AA 5488 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:30 PHL → 12:47 TVC
    AA 5480 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 17m · 81% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Traverse City is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 53mMSP 05:54 to TVC 12:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.