tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Philadelphia: arrives on time 63%

  1. 05:54 MSP → 09:36 PHL
    AA 5488 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:28 PHL → 12:31 XNA
    AA 5543 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 03m · 80% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection87%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 13% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (87%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 37mMSP 05:54 to XNA 12:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.