tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Richmond via Philadelphia: arrives on time 83%

  1. 05:54 MSP → 09:36 PHL
    AA 5488 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 88% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:12 PHL → 14:35 RIC
    AA 5843 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival (Richmond is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 171 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip7h 41mMSP 05:54 to RIC 14:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.