tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dallas-Fort Worth via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 14:02 DAY → 15:48 CLT
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:38 CLT → 18:37 DFW
    AA 2815 · American · 2h 58m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Dayton). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 34mDAY 14:02 to DFW 18:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.