tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dayton → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 74%

  1. 14:02 DAY → 15:48 CLT
    AA 5490 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 19:44 CLT → 21:20 IAD
    UA 3998 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 36m · 82% on time, 5.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 146 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 56m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (5.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip7h 18mDAY 14:02 to IAD 21:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.