tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Traverse City via Washington: arrives on time 63%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:06 DCA
    AA 5501 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 91% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:20 DCA → 13:27 TVC
    AA 4138 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 07m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip7h 27mATL 06:00 to TVC 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.