tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → White Plains via Washington: arrives on time 56%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:06 DCA
    AA 5501 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 91% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:05 DCA → 10:30 HPN
    AA 5282 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 31m · 76% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 36mATL 06:00 to HPN 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.