tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Knoxville via Washington: arrives on time 58%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:06 DCA
    AA 5501 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 91% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:00 DCA → 10:48 TYS
    AA 5647 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 47m · 80% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 47mATL 06:00 to TYS 10:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.