tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 ATL → 08:06 DCA
    AA 5501 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 91% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:50 DCA → 12:13 MSN
    AA 4523 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 23m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 13mATL 06:00 to MSN 12:13, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.