tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Boston via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 06:00 MSN → 09:19 DCA
    AA 5503 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 87% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:59 DCA → 14:44 BOS
    AA 4380 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 72% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boston is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip7h 43mMSN 06:00 to BOS 14:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.