tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Myrtle Beach via Philadelphia: arrives on time 60%

  1. 13:15 CVG → 15:04 PHL
    AA 5514 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 72% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 15m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:19 PHL → 18:20 MYR
    AA 5849 · American, flown by Piedmont · 2h 08m · 85% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection78%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 22% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 15m layover.
Arrives on time60%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (78%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 12mCVG 13:15 to MYR 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.