tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hebron → Boston via Philadelphia: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:56 CVG → 19:47 PHL
    AA 5515 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 51m · 63% on time, 10.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:50 PHL → 22:35 BOS
    AA 1442 · American · 1h 45m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (10.0% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 39mCVG 17:56 to BOS 22:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.