tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Greensboro → Miami via Philadelphia: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:29 GSO → 19:05 PHL
    AA 5518 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 36m · 54% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:55 PHL → 23:09 MIA
    AA 1181 · American · 3h 14m · 69% on time, 3.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 40mGSO 17:29 to MIA 23:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.