tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Nashville via Washington: arrives on time 54%

  1. 06:00 ORF → 06:59 DCA
    AA 5520 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 00m · 92% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 2h 25m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:24 DCA → 10:28 BNA
    AA 5085 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 06m · 64% on time, 7.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 100 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 25m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (7.0% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 30mORF 06:00 to BNA 10:28, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.