tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 78%

  1. 06:00 ORF → 06:59 DCA
    AA 5520 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 00m · 92% on time, 4.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 26m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:25 DCA → 10:00 ORD
    AA 4360 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 32m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Norfolk). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (4.7% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 57mORF 06:00 to ORD 10:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.