tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Raleigh/Durham via Detroit: arrives on time 80%

  1. 10:30 PHL → 12:28 DTW
    AA 5530 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 58m · 83% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 31m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 15:59 DTW → 17:44 RDU
    DL 1407 · Delta · 1h 45m · 84% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 121 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 31m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 14mPHL 10:30 to RDU 17:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.