tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 25%

  1. 13:01 XNA → 16:50 PHL
    AA 5543 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 49m · 63% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:38 PHL → 20:25 DFW
    AA 2947 · American · 3h 47m · 55% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (55%).
Total trip7h 24mXNA 13:01 to DFW 20:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.