tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kansas City → Washington via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 31%

  1. 14:37 MCI → 16:28 DFW
    AA 5567 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 51m · 68% on time, 13.6% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:15 DFW → 21:31 DCA
    AA 472 · American · 3h 16m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 1 h ahead of Kansas City). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (13.6% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 54mMCI 14:37 to DCA 21:31, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.