tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 64%

  1. 13:17 TVC → 15:40 CLT
    AA 5571 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:21 CLT → 20:30 EWR
    AA 1071 · American · 2h 09m · 68% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time64%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (68%).
Total trip7h 13mTVC 13:17 to EWR 20:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.