tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 13:17 TVC → 15:40 CLT
    AA 5571 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 CLT → 18:29 LGA
    AA 1722 · American · 2h 03m · 54% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 16mTVC 13:17 to LGA 18:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.