tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:17 TVC → 15:40 CLT
    AA 5571 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 23m · 83% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:43 CLT → 18:39 EWR
    AA 1811 · American · 1h 56m · 59% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 22m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection84%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 16% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (84%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip5h 22mTVC 13:17 to EWR 18:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.