tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Phoenix via Washington: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:52 IND → 16:44 DCA
    AA 5572 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 52m · 74% on time, 6.1% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DCA → 19:30 PHX
    AA 2034 · American · 5h 00m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (6.1% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 38mIND 14:52 to PHX 19:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.