tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Norfolk via Philadelphia: arrives on time 74%

  1. 08:57 BNA → 12:06 PHL
    AA 5576 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 09m · 90% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 26m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:32 PHL → 16:52 ORF
    AA 4749 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Norfolk is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 161 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 26m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 55mBNA 08:57 to ORF 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.