tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Rapid City → Denver via Charlotte: arrives on time 34%

  1. 11:50 RAP → 17:25 CLT
    AA 5579 · American, flown by PSA · 3h 35m · 70% on time, 7.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 CLT → 20:17 DEN
    AA 1736 · American · 3h 45m · 49% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (7.0% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (49%).
Total trip8h 27mRAP 11:50 to DEN 20:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.