tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Raleigh/Durham → Charlotte via Washington: arrives on time 36%

  1. 10:35 RDU → 11:56 DCA
    AA 5581 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 21m · 68% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:54 DCA → 14:34 CLT
    AA 5022 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip3h 59mRDU 10:35 to CLT 14:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.