tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 30%

  1. 13:18 SYR → 14:52 DCA
    AA 5589 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 47% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:52 DCA → 17:25 ORD
    AA 3254 · American · 2h 32m · 73% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Syracuse). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection47%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 53% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (47%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 06mSYR 13:18 to ORD 17:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.