tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Syracuse → New York via Washington: arrives on time 55%

  1. 13:18 SYR → 14:52 DCA
    AA 5589 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 34m · 47% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 48m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 DCA → 20:20 JFK
    AA 4336 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 76% on time, 16.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 33 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 183 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 48m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (16.3% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip7h 02mSYR 13:18 to JFK 20:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.