tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → Raleigh/Durham via Charlotte: arrives on time 50%

  1. 20:01 PIT → 21:50 CLT
    AA 5602 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 49m · 68% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 07m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:57 CLT → 23:58 RDU
    AA 494 · American · 1h 01m · 74% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 07m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip3h 57mPIT 20:01 to RDU 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.