tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbia → Chicago via Washington: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:00 CAE → 07:40 DCA
    AA 5603 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 40m · 88% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 50m layover in Washington (DCA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:30 DCA → 11:48 ORD
    UA 2201 · United · 2h 18m · 91% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Columbia). Times are local. Both flew on 20 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 50m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip6h 48mCAE 06:00 to ORD 11:48, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.