tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pensacola → Austin via Charlotte: arrives on time 28%

  1. 16:42 PNS → 19:40 CLT
    AA 5604 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 58m · 60% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 22:17 AUS
    AA 434 · American · 2h 48m · 62% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection46%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 54% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (46%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip5h 35mPNS 16:42 to AUS 22:17, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.