tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Orlando via Philadelphia: arrives on time 31%

  1. 13:23 GRR → 15:22 PHL
    AA 5614 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 59m · 74% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:13 PHL → 18:57 MCO
    AA 1673 · American · 2h 44m · 53% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time31%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip5h 34mGRR 13:23 to MCO 18:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.