tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Dallas-Fort Worth via Philadelphia: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:23 GRR → 15:22 PHL
    AA 5614 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 59m · 74% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:22 PHL → 19:09 DFW
    AA 2356 · American · 3h 47m · 69% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Grand Rapids). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 46mGRR 13:23 to DFW 19:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.