tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Knoxville → Chicago via Philadelphia: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 TYS → 07:56 PHL
    AA 5620 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 56m · 86% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:58 PHL → 10:38 ORD
    AA 2095 · American · 2h 40m · 81% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Knoxville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 38mTYS 06:00 to ORD 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.