tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Chicago via Charlotte: arrives on time 58%

  1. 17:21 SRQ → 19:29 CLT
    AA 5627 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 08m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:39 CLT → 00:01 ORD +1 day
    AA 3014 · American · 2h 22m · 65% on time, 8.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 40mSRQ 17:21 to ORD 00:01, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.