tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sarasota/Bradenton → Nashville via Charlotte: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:21 SRQ → 19:29 CLT
    AA 5627 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 08m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 46m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:15 CLT → 21:45 BNA
    WN 1168 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Sarasota/Bradenton). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 46m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip5h 24mSRQ 17:21 to BNA 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.