tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Charlotte: arrives on time 59%

  1. 16:01 TVC → 18:25 CLT
    AA 5628 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 25m · 81% on time, 1.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 15m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 CLT → 23:30 LGA
    AA 2068 · American · 1h 53m · 66% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 150 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 15m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip7h 32mTVC 16:01 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.