tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Phoenix via Columbus: arrives on time 82%

  1. 13:46 PHL → 15:31 CMH
    AA 5634 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 45m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Columbus (CMH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 CMH → 19:09 PHX
    AA 1689 · American · 4h 09m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 23mPHL 13:46 to PHX 19:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.