tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Atlanta via Washington: arrives on time 7%

  1. 15:29 PHL → 16:44 DCA
    AA 5636 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 15m · 43% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:30 DCA → 19:36 ATL
    AA 4733 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 32% on time, 17.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time7%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (17.4% are) and within 15 minutes (32%).
Total trip4h 07mPHL 15:29 to ATL 19:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.