tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Harrisburg → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 67%

  1. 08:24 MDT → 10:08 CLT
    AA 5638 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 44m · 88% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:05 CLT → 12:38 IAD
    AA 5220 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 33m · 84% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip4h 14mMDT 08:24 to IAD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.