tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → Nashville via Philadelphia: arrives on time 34%

  1. 13:08 MSP → 16:50 PHL
    AA 5658 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 42m · 75% on time, 8.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:36 PHL → 18:55 BNA
    AA 5580 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 19m · 70% on time, 11.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (8.6% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (11.7% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 47mMSP 13:08 to BNA 18:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.